Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs McClement 52.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Fraser 68.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 62.5%
Neutral zone
Fraser 53.5%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Fraser
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Fraser
McClement
Last 10: Fraser 5-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
3
0
Fraser
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
5
Fraser
McClement
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
McClement
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
54.4% (4,305)
-6.4%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
62.5% (104)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
47.2% (1,440)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Fraser
McClement
Home
48.6% (661)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
44.0% (602)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Fraser
McClement
P1
46.7%
53.5%
P2
46.4%
52.0%
P3
46.2%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2013 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Jay McClement |