Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 64.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 69.1%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 62.0%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Fraser
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Fraser
Mitchell
Last 7: Fraser 4-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Fraser
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fraser
Mitchell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
0
Fraser
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
51.8% (2,965)
-3.8%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
54.1% (196)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
44.1% (401)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
Fraser
Mitchell
Home
48.6% (661)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
44.0% (602)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Fraser
Mitchell
P1
46.7%
52.0%
P2
46.4%
49.9%
P3
46.2%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
69.2%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | John Mitchell |