Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fraser wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 45.4% vs Chipchura 47.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 51.0%
Defensive zone
Fraser 84.4%
Neutral zone
Fraser 66.5%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Fraser
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fraser
Chipchura
Last 5: Fraser 1-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
3
Fraser
Chipchura
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
1
Fraser
Chipchura
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (382)
46.9% (254)
+0.7%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
85.7% (7)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (152)
33.3% (18)
+1.6%
On power play, Chipchura has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Fraser is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Fraser shoots left. Chipchura is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Fraser
Chipchura
Home
47.1% (293)
48.7% (154)
Away
41.7% (259)
44.2% (129)
By Period
Fraser
Chipchura
P1
46.3%
50.6%
P2
43.1%
42.6%
P3
44.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 11:26 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |