Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Chipchura 50.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Chipchura leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Fraser 65.1%
Defensive zone
Fraser 63.7%
Neutral zone
Fraser 66.1%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Fraser
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Fraser
Chipchura
Last 10: Fraser 4-6 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
2
5
Fraser
Chipchura
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
2
3
Fraser
Chipchura
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Fraser
Chipchura
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
50.9% (2,100)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
45.7% (46)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
45.0% (171)
-9.2%
On power play, Fraser has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Home / Away
Fraser
Chipchura
Home
48.6% (661)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
44.0% (602)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Fraser
Chipchura
P1
46.7%
51.1%
P2
46.4%
50.3%
P3
46.2%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
78.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 11:26 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |