Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.7%). Look for Fraser on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Chipchura 48.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 52.1%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 54.9%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 56.6%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Fraser
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fraser
Chipchura
Last 5: Fraser 3-2 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Chipchura
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
1
Fraser
Chipchura
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
47.9% (332)
+0.9%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
28.6% (7)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
47.8% (23)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Chipchura has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. Chipchura is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Fraser
Chipchura
Home
49.7% (189)
46.5% (159)
Away
44.8% (181)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Fraser
Chipchura
P1
44.6%
50.4%
P2
48.1%
47.0%
P3
49.1%
45.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |