Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Shaw 45.5% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Fraser 52.2%
Defensive zone
Fraser 50.8%
Neutral zone
Fraser 50.8%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Fraser
Shaw
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
46.4% (418)
+1.6%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
66.7% (6)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
35.4% (96)
+0.4%
On power play, Shaw has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Fraser is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Fraser shoots left. Shaw is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Fraser
Shaw
Home
48.6% (661)
46.2% (236)
Away
44.0% (602)
43.3% (284)
By Period
Fraser
Shaw
P1
46.7%
41.3%
P2
46.4%
46.4%
P3
46.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%