Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Lapierre 51.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 63.7%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 86.4%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 69.9%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Fraser
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Fraser
Lapierre
Last 8: Fraser 5-3 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
3
0
Fraser
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
3
Fraser
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
0
Fraser
Lapierre
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
52.9% (2,085)
-4.9%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
53.1% (32)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
43.1% (415)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Lapierre has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Fraser is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Fraser shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Home / Away
Fraser
Lapierre
Home
48.6% (661)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
44.0% (602)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Fraser
Lapierre
P1
46.7%
52.5%
P2
46.4%
50.7%
P3
46.2%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 15:42 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |