Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Fraser wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 45.4% vs Kopecky 44.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopecky 78.2%
Defensive zone
Fraser 78.5%
Neutral zone
Fraser 53.9%
Result
Tomas Kopecky favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Fraser
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fraser
Kopecky
Last 5: Fraser 3-2 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Kopecky
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Kopecky
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Kopecky
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (382)
44.0% (225)
+3.6%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
38.0% (50)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (152)
25.0% (8)
+9.9%
On power play, Fraser has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Fraser is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Fraser shoots left. Kopecky is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Fraser
Kopecky
Home
47.1% (293)
46.7% (150)
Away
41.7% (259)
37.3% (134)
By Period
Fraser
Kopecky
P1
46.3%
41.1%
P2
43.1%
38.2%
P3
44.7%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |