Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 46.8%). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Kopecky 47.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopecky 70.6%
Defensive zone
Fraser 69.4%
Neutral zone
Fraser 53.3%
Result
Tomas Kopecky favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Fraser
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fraser
Kopecky
Last 5: Fraser 3-2 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Kopecky
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Kopecky
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Kopecky
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
47.3% (438)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
42.3% (142)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
51.3% (80)
-15.5%
On power play, Fraser has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Kopecky is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Fraser
Kopecky
Home
48.6% (661)
51.9% (364)
Away
44.0% (602)
40.7% (305)
By Period
Fraser
Kopecky
P1
46.7%
47.4%
P2
46.4%
42.5%
P3
46.2%
49.3%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
46.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |