Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 45.4% vs Lewis 41.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 50.9%
Defensive zone
Fraser 84.4%
Neutral zone
Fraser 73.8%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Fraser
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Fraser
Lewis
Last 8: Fraser 6-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
4
1
Fraser
Lewis
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (382)
39.6% (351)
+8.0%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
60.0% (5)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (152)
33.3% (27)
+1.6%
On even strength, Fraser has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Fraser is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Fraser shoots left. Lewis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Fraser
Lewis
Home
47.1% (293)
38.2% (178)
Away
41.7% (259)
40.1% (207)
By Period
Fraser
Lewis
P1
46.3%
39.9%
P2
43.1%
40.1%
P3
44.7%
36.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |