Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Lewis 43.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 57.4%
Defensive zone
Fraser 79.9%
Neutral zone
Fraser 71.3%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Fraser
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Fraser
Lewis
Last 8: Fraser 6-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
4
1
Fraser
Lewis
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
43.2% (2,347)
+4.8%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
51.9% (108)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
38.6% (365)
-2.8%
On power play, Fraser has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Fraser is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Fraser shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Fraser
Lewis
Home
48.6% (661)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
44.0% (602)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Fraser
Lewis
P1
46.7%
42.8%
P2
46.4%
43.9%
P3
46.2%
41.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |