Scouting Report
Warren Peters holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Peters on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Peters shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Peters 55.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 72.1%
Defensive zone
Fraser 78.4%
Neutral zone
Fraser 72.2%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Fraser
Peters
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fraser
Peters
Last 5: Fraser 1-4 Peters
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peters
0
1
Fraser
Peters
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peters
0
1
Fraser
Peters
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peters
1
2
Fraser
Peters
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Peters
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
57.3% (471)
-9.3%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
33.3% (3)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
46.0% (63)
-10.2%
On power play, Fraser has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peters shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Peters is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Fraser
Peters
Home
48.6% (661)
58.8% (226)
Away
44.0% (602)
53.8% (318)
By Period
Fraser
Peters
P1
46.7%
55.1%
P2
46.4%
57.5%
P3
46.2%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Peters
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Warren Peters |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Warren Peters |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Warren Peters |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Warren Peters |