Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 46.6%). Look for White on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). White wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 47.7% vs McDavid 47.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 56.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 52.0%
Neutral zone
White 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
White
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
White
McDavid
Last 5: White 4-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: White
1
0
White
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: White
1
0
White
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: White
2
1
White
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (687)
46.9% (862)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
42.1% (38)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
44.4% (18)
+3.0%
On power play, White has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. White is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
White shoots right. McDavid is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
White
McDavid
Home
47.8% (410)
47.9% (478)
Away
47.0% (389)
45.2% (440)
By Period
White
McDavid
P1
44.5%
45.9%
P2
47.9%
47.7%
P3
49.8%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
47.4%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Colin White |