Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for White on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). White wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs McDavid 47.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
White leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 66.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 66.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
White
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
White
McDavid
Last 10: White 6-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: White
6
3
White
McDavid
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: White
2
1
White
McDavid
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
White
McDavid
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
47.7% (8,358)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
52.0% (371)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
43.4% (279)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. White is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
White shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
Home / Away
White
McDavid
Home
46.2% (1,138)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
White
McDavid
P1
45.9%
46.5%
P2
44.6%
48.7%
P3
45.3%
48.3%
OT
33.3%
40.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Colin White |