Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wilson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.2% vs Helm 52.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 86.7%
Defensive zone
Helm 80.1%
Neutral zone
Wilson 64.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Wilson
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Wilson
Helm
Last 8: Wilson 3-5 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
0
Wilson
Helm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
4
Wilson
Helm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Helm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (125)
52.9% (678)
-7.3%
Power Play
49.0% (102)
53.8% (13)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.6% (235)
+49.4%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Wilson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Wilson shoots left. Helm is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Wilson
Helm
Home
47.3% (110)
56.5% (444)
Away
47.5% (118)
49.0% (494)
By Period
Wilson
Helm
P1
56.7%
54.6%
P2
37.2%
51.8%
P3
51.4%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.4%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |