Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Helm 50.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Wilson 83.8%
Defensive zone
Helm 71.3%
Neutral zone
Wilson 62.4%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Wilson
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Wilson
Helm
Last 10: Wilson 4-6 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
0
Wilson
Helm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
5
Wilson
Helm
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Helm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
51.1% (2,790)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
54.7% (148)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.0% (719)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Home / Away
Wilson
Helm
Home
46.1% (531)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
46.1% (564)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
Wilson
Helm
P1
46.6%
49.5%
P2
43.2%
52.8%
P3
48.8%
49.7%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |