Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 45.8%). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Malkin 45.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 51.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 54.1%
Neutral zone
Wilson 55.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Wilson
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Wilson
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Wilson
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
45.6% (10,081)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
50.1% (668)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
32.2% (59)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Wilson
Malkin
Home
46.1% (531)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
46.1% (564)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Wilson
Malkin
P1
46.6%
45.9%
P2
43.2%
46.2%
P3
48.8%
45.2%
OT
45.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |