Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.2% vs Reasoner 54.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 85.9%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 81.4%
Neutral zone
Wilson 56.9%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Wilson
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wilson
Reasoner
Last 5: Wilson 2-3 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Reasoner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
3
Wilson
Reasoner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Reasoner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (125)
56.1% (923)
-10.5%
Power Play
49.0% (102)
56.1% (57)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.2% (278)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Wilson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Wilson shoots left. Reasoner is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Home / Away
Wilson
Reasoner
Home
47.3% (110)
56.9% (627)
Away
47.5% (118)
52.2% (657)
By Period
Wilson
Reasoner
P1
56.7%
52.9%
P2
37.2%
53.8%
P3
51.4%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.4%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |