Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Reasoner 53.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 85.9%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 76.9%
Neutral zone
Wilson 56.8%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Wilson
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wilson
Reasoner
Last 5: Wilson 2-3 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Reasoner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
3
Wilson
Reasoner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Reasoner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
55.7% (1,642)
-10.7%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
56.9% (72)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
45.5% (413)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Home / Away
Wilson
Reasoner
Home
46.1% (531)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
46.1% (564)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Wilson
Reasoner
P1
46.6%
53.1%
P2
43.2%
53.1%
P3
48.8%
55.3%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |