Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.8% vs Lapierre 50.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 54.6%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 87.4%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 76.0%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Wilson
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wilson
Lapierre
Last 5: Wilson 4-1 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
0
Wilson
Lapierre
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
1
Wilson
Lapierre
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (312)
53.1% (527)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
31.8% (66)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Lapierre has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Wilson is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Wilson shoots left. Lapierre is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Wilson
Lapierre
Home
44.4% (160)
51.8% (309)
Away
51.9% (183)
49.6% (284)
By Period
Wilson
Lapierre
P1
49.2%
51.0%
P2
45.1%
57.2%
P3
50.6%
44.1%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |