Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Lapierre 51.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 94.7%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 72.3%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Wilson
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Wilson
Lapierre
Last 9: Wilson 6-3 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
4
0
Wilson
Lapierre
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
3
Wilson
Lapierre
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
52.9% (2,085)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
53.1% (32)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.1% (415)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Lapierre has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Wilson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Wilson shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Home / Away
Wilson
Lapierre
Home
46.1% (531)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
46.1% (564)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Wilson
Lapierre
P1
46.6%
52.5%
P2
43.2%
50.7%
P3
48.8%
51.1%
OT
45.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |