Scouting Report
Colin Wilson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.8% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 70.0%
Defensive zone
Wilson 50.9%
Neutral zone
Wilson 56.0%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Wilson
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Wilson
Jokinen
Last 8: Wilson 5-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
0
Wilson
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Wilson
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Jokinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (312)
45.3% (1,142)
+1.8%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
53.4% (131)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.9% (57)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Wilson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Wilson shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Wilson
Jokinen
Home
44.4% (160)
48.8% (692)
Away
51.9% (183)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Wilson
Jokinen
P1
49.2%
44.9%
P2
45.1%
45.7%
P3
50.6%
46.9%
OT
62.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |