Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 46.3%). Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Jokinen 46.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 64.5%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 64.0%
Neutral zone
Wilson 51.4%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Wilson
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Wilson
Jokinen
Last 9: Wilson 6-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
4
0
Wilson
Jokinen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Wilson
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Jokinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
45.8% (3,924)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
50.8% (585)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.9% (247)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Wilson
Jokinen
Home
46.1% (531)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
46.1% (564)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Wilson
Jokinen
P1
46.6%
45.6%
P2
43.2%
47.5%
P3
48.8%
45.4%
OT
45.5%
56.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |