Scouting Report
Colin Wilson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Regin 44.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 71.5%
Defensive zone
Regin 70.8%
Neutral zone
Regin 56.6%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Wilson
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Wilson
Regin
Last 7: Wilson 2-5 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
1
Wilson
Regin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Regin
0
2
Wilson
Regin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Regin
0
2
Wilson
Regin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
45.8% (836)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
39.2% (74)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
24.7% (73)
+8.6%
On power play, Wilson has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Regin is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Wilson
Regin
Home
46.1% (531)
42.6% (533)
Away
46.1% (564)
45.1% (450)
By Period
Wilson
Regin
P1
46.6%
46.7%
P2
43.2%
43.9%
P3
48.8%
40.8%
OT
45.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Peter Regin |