Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Dewar 45.1% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 59.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 61.7%
Neutral zone
Dewar 52.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Sissons
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sissons
Dewar
Last 6: Sissons 3-3 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Sissons
Dewar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Dewar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
2
Sissons
Dewar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
45.4% (443)
+11.7%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
75.0% (8)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
28.8% (52)
+17.6%
On power play, Dewar has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Sissons
Dewar
Home
54.8% (569)
43.3% (238)
Away
52.1% (539)
44.9% (265)
By Period
Sissons
Dewar
P1
56.1%
41.7%
P2
49.6%
46.1%
P3
54.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |