Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.7% vs Stepan 47.5% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 88.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 63.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 75.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Sissons
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sissons
Stepan
Last 7: Sissons 2-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
3
Sissons
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sissons
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (569)
46.8% (991)
+8.2%
Power Play
54.2% (72)
48.8% (211)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (152)
48.3% (174)
-2.9%
On even strength, Sissons has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sissons is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Sissons shoots right. Stepan is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stepan
Home
54.4% (419)
48.6% (666)
Away
51.6% (374)
46.1% (710)
By Period
Sissons
Stepan
P1
51.6%
46.3%
P2
55.4%
50.7%
P3
52.3%
45.5%
OT
33.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |