Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Stepan 53.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 72.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 69.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Sissons
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sissons
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Sissons
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Sissons
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
55.3% (358)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
0.0% (3)
+52.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
50.8% (61)
-4.4%
On power play, Sissons has a +52.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sissons is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Sissons shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stepan
Home
54.8% (569)
57.7% (213)
Away
52.1% (539)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Sissons
Stepan
P1
56.1%
56.3%
P2
49.6%
48.9%
P3
54.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |