Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 55.2%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sissons wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs Lindholm 54.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 69.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 77.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Sissons
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sissons
Lindholm
Last 6: Sissons 2-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
4
Sissons
Lindholm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
54.9% (937)
+1.9%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
60.4% (265)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
49.4% (172)
+3.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Sissons is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Sissons shoots right. Lindholm is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Sissons
Lindholm
Home
54.8% (301)
54.4% (688)
Away
54.8% (323)
56.1% (686)
By Period
Sissons
Lindholm
P1
53.0%
57.2%
P2
49.3%
54.3%
P3
61.4%
54.2%
OT
60.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |