Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.7%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Sissons wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs Spezza 54.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 84.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 82.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 50.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Sissons
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Sissons
Spezza
Last 10: Sissons 7-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
6
Sissons
Spezza
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
5
3
Sissons
Spezza
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
7
Sissons
Spezza
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
54.4% (7,990)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
56.8% (1,726)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
52.7% (643)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Sissons is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,453).
Sissons shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Sissons
Spezza
Home
54.1% (4,241)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Sissons
Spezza
P1
53.8%
55.7%
P2
53.2%
54.4%
P3
54.7%
54.1%
OT
49.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 10, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:12 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |