Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Toews 60.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 74.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 84.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 52.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Sissons
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sissons
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Sissons
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
62.5% (696)
-5.5%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
59.6% (141)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
46.9% (32)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Sissons
Toews
Home
52.9% (263)
60.9% (435)
Away
59.7% (300)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Sissons
Toews
P1
56.3%
59.8%
P2
57.8%
65.7%
P3
55.4%
58.8%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |