Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Toews 61.9% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 58.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 83.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 63.6%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Sissons
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sissons
Toews
Last 5: Sissons 1-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Sissons
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
61.1% (650)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
71.9% (192)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
59.6% (99)
-13.2%
On power play, Toews has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Sissons
Toews
Home
54.8% (569)
64.8% (560)
Away
52.1% (539)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Sissons
Toews
P1
56.1%
62.3%
P2
49.6%
63.9%
P3
54.8%
62.8%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |