Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Staal 54.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 75.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 59.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Sissons
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sissons
Staal
Last 6: Sissons 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Sissons
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
56.1% (955)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
66.9% (142)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
43.0% (242)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Sissons
Staal
Home
52.9% (263)
55.4% (663)
Away
59.7% (300)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Sissons
Staal
P1
56.3%
55.1%
P2
57.8%
54.7%
P3
55.4%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |