Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 46-34 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 63.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 75.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 56.7%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Sissons
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
46
(80 meetings)
34
46
Sissons
Staal
Last 10: Sissons 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
20
Sissons
Staal
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
16
6
Sissons
Staal
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
12
20
Sissons
Staal
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
55.9% (14,620)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
62.7% (1,745)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
48.0% (2,896)
+0.5%
On power play, Staal has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,960).
Sissons shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Sissons
Staal
Home
54.1% (4,241)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Sissons
Staal
P1
53.8%
55.2%
P2
53.2%
55.9%
P3
54.7%
54.9%
OT
49.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |