Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 62.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Stenlund 54.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 55.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 55.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Sissons
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sissons
Stenlund
Last 6: Sissons 2-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Sissons
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Sissons
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
56.1% (615)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
53.2% (47)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
52.1% (307)
+2.1%
On power play, Sissons has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Sissons is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Sissons shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stenlund
Home
52.9% (263)
57.0% (458)
Away
59.7% (300)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Sissons
Stenlund
P1
56.3%
55.1%
P2
57.8%
53.3%
P3
55.4%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |