Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.3%). Look for Sissons on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Eller 52.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 61.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.5%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Sissons
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sissons
Eller
Last 5: Sissons 3-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
52.8% (742)
+1.8%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
67.6% (34)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
46.2% (156)
-1.8%
On power play, Eller has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Sissons is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Sissons shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Sissons
Eller
Home
51.5% (575)
54.5% (448)
Away
53.6% (601)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Sissons
Eller
P1
53.0%
52.8%
P2
52.4%
50.9%
P3
52.0%
53.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |