Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.9%). Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 82.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 87.4%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Sissons
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sissons
Draisaitl
Last 7: Sissons 2-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Sissons
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Sissons
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
55.9% (835)
+1.1%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
61.8% (228)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
50.0% (40)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Sissons
Draisaitl
Home
52.9% (263)
55.1% (508)
Away
59.7% (300)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Sissons
Draisaitl
P1
56.3%
55.8%
P2
57.8%
55.7%
P3
55.4%
59.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |