Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Sissons wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 89.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 72.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 66.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Sissons
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sissons
Scheifele
Last 8: Sissons 3-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
5
Sissons
Scheifele
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
48.7% (981)
+8.1%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
53.2% (250)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
43.2% (37)
+9.2%
On power play, Scheifele has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Sissons is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Sissons shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Sissons
Scheifele
Home
54.8% (301)
50.0% (672)
Away
54.8% (323)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Sissons
Scheifele
P1
53.0%
51.4%
P2
49.3%
45.1%
P3
61.4%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |