Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 67.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 71.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 69.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Sissons
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sissons
Bjugstad
Last 7: Sissons 2-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Sissons
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Sissons
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
50.7% (906)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
48.1% (108)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
44.4% (239)
+0.0%
On power play, Sissons has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Sissons is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Sissons shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Sissons
Bjugstad
Home
51.5% (575)
49.8% (643)
Away
53.6% (601)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Sissons
Bjugstad
P1
53.0%
49.4%
P2
52.4%
50.5%
P3
52.0%
47.9%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |