Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Foligno 49.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 72.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 57.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Sissons
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sissons
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Sissons
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
49.0% (261)
+8.0%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
57.1% (42)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
47.1% (51)
+7.1%
On even strength, Sissons has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Sissons
Foligno
Home
52.9% (263)
48.9% (178)
Away
59.7% (300)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Sissons
Foligno
P1
56.3%
40.4%
P2
57.8%
55.8%
P3
55.4%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |