Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 62.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 86.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 87.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Sissons
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Sissons
Schmaltz
Last 7: Sissons 3-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Sissons
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Sissons
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
45.9% (665)
+11.1%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
46.8% (111)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
50.0% (24)
+4.2%
On power play, Sissons has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Sissons is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Sissons shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Sissons
Schmaltz
Home
52.9% (263)
44.7% (409)
Away
59.7% (300)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Sissons
Schmaltz
P1
56.3%
40.3%
P2
57.8%
47.6%
P3
55.4%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |