Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 22 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 23-18 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 80.0%
Neutral zone
Sissons 50.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Sissons
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
23
(41 meetings)
18
23
Sissons
Stastny
Last 10: Sissons 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
18
Sissons
Stastny
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
12
2
Sissons
Stastny
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Sissons
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
54.6% (10,616)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,960).
Sissons shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stastny
Home
54.1% (4,241)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Sissons
Stastny
P1
53.8%
56.3%
P2
53.2%
55.4%
P3
54.7%
53.5%
OT
49.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |