Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Stastny 56.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 81.4%
Neutral zone
Sissons 54.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Sissons
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sissons
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
57.5% (412)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
60.0% (65)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
44.4% (9)
+2.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stastny
Home
54.8% (569)
58.3% (276)
Away
52.1% (539)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Sissons
Stastny
P1
56.1%
63.7%
P2
49.6%
57.3%
P3
54.8%
50.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |