Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Zacha 54.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 86.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 73.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 60.3%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Sissons
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Sissons
Zacha
Last 9: Sissons 5-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Sissons
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
5
1
Sissons
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
53.9% (787)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
63.2% (193)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
44.3% (88)
+0.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Sissons is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Sissons shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Sissons
Zacha
Home
51.5% (575)
56.7% (538)
Away
53.6% (601)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Sissons
Zacha
P1
53.0%
52.6%
P2
52.4%
54.8%
P3
52.0%
56.8%
OT
75.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.6%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |