Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 84.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 59.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Sissons
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sissons
Monahan
Last 5: Sissons 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Sissons
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
0
Sissons
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
53.2% (823)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
55.3% (159)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
48.4% (95)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Sissons
Monahan
Home
52.9% (263)
54.6% (529)
Away
59.7% (300)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Sissons
Monahan
P1
56.3%
49.0%
P2
57.8%
55.4%
P3
55.4%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |