Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.6% vs Novak 44.0% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 58.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 95.6%
Neutral zone
Sissons 88.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Sissons
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sissons
Novak
Last 5: Sissons 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (459)
42.7% (466)
+15.3%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
44.7% (38)
+17.2%
On power play, Sissons has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Sissons is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Sissons shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Sissons
Novak
Home
53.2% (293)
43.0% (244)
Away
59.5% (321)
42.7% (260)
By Period
Sissons
Novak
P1
56.3%
42.2%
P2
56.7%
43.5%
P3
56.8%
43.2%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
58.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Novak
62.0%▲
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |