Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs Novak 43.3% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 56.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 97.7%
Neutral zone
Sissons 92.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Sissons
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sissons
Novak
Last 5: Sissons 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
42.1% (1,539)
+13.3%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
51.9% (133)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
50.0% (2)
-1.5%
On even strength, Sissons has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,960).
Sissons shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Sissons
Novak
Home
54.1% (4,241)
45.3% (814)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Sissons
Novak
P1
53.8%
43.9%
P2
53.2%
42.8%
P3
54.7%
41.7%
OT
49.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |