Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 91.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 75.3%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Sissons
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sissons
Gourde
Last 5: Sissons 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
49.1% (847)
+8.0%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
79.5% (44)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
39.5% (81)
+6.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Sissons
Gourde
Home
54.8% (569)
50.1% (491)
Away
52.1% (539)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Sissons
Gourde
P1
56.1%
54.7%
P2
49.6%
45.0%
P3
54.8%
49.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |