Christian Dvorak vs Connor Bedard
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Bedard 39.8% (+17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 63.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 89.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 86.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Dvorak
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
38.0% (618)
+18.4%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
38.7% (31)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
57.1% (7)
-6.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Bedard
Home
55.1% (501)
40.5% (316)
Away
56.4% (559)
36.2% (340)
By Period
Dvorak
Bedard
P1
55.8%
37.2%
P2
52.5%
36.9%
P3
58.2%
40.7%
OT
63.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |