Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Eichel 48.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 54.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 57.0%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Bedard
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Bedard
Eichel
Last 9: Bedard 4-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Bedard
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Bedard
Eichel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
47.7% (858)
-3.5%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
55.6% (63)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
44.8% (87)
+9.0%
On power play, Bedard has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Bedard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Bedard shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Bedard
Eichel
Home
50.7% (223)
47.7% (509)
Away
42.2% (270)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Bedard
Eichel
P1
40.8%
49.5%
P2
48.2%
48.5%
P3
48.0%
46.8%
OT
57.1%
37.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |