Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Roslovic 53.2% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 61.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 59.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.8%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Bedard
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bedard
Roslovic
Last 7: Bedard 3-4 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Roslovic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
3
Bedard
Roslovic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Roslovic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
55.2% (299)
-17.2%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
49.1% (55)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
0.0% (1)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Bedard is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Bedard shoots right. Roslovic is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Bedard
Roslovic
Home
40.5% (316)
54.0% (200)
Away
36.2% (340)
54.2% (155)
By Period
Bedard
Roslovic
P1
37.2%
57.0%
P2
36.9%
54.3%
P3
40.7%
50.9%
Final 5 min
43.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |